Melina Papoutsi
Working Papers:
Non-Bank Lending to Mid-Size Firms in Europe: Evidence from Corporate Securities, with Olivier Darmouni
Using newly available micro-data, this paper documents new evidence on the rise of non-bank credit to mid-size firms in the euro area. Recent new issuers of debt securities are typically small, private, and unrated. Their spreads are comparable to high-yield bonds. Traditional "buy-and-hold'' investors are small for unrated and smaller issuers, while non-bank intermediaries are large. These non-bank intermediaries were however as stabilizing as insurers during the March 2020 turmoil. Nevertheless, the subsequent bond issuance wave was restricted to large and rated firms. This market thus more closely resembles "private debt'' markets than the traditional bond market.
Learning from Holdings: Drivers of Convenience Yield and Policy Implications?, with Felix Corell and Lira Mota
The spread between corporate and sovereign bond yields cannot be explained by differences in default risk alone. Instead, there is a significant non-default component that has traditionally been associated with the "convenience'' of holding a particular asset. We use comprehensive portfolio holdings data from the euro area corporate bond market to shed light on the drivers of such convenience yields. We document significant variation in convenience yields across different investor group portfolios. Taking the business models of different sectors (banks, mutual funds, and insurance companies) into account, we conduct several regulatory and monetary policy event studies to map variation in convenience yields to specific service flows. We find that liquidity, regulatory capital requirements, and collateral pledgeability are all important determinants of convenience yields. Our results underscore the importance of asset-specific services in driving bond valuation and shaping monetary policy transmission.
How unconventional is green monetary policy?, with Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider
This paper studies the environmental impact of unconventional monetary policy. Our theoretical framework is a multisector growth model with climate externalities and financial frictions. When central bank asset purchases have real effects on aggregate output, their sectoral composition typically affects the climate. Market neutrality of asset purchases does not follow from simple formulas used by policy makers, but depends on (i) the impact of central bank purchases on firms’ cost of capital and (ii) the share of capital funded by bonds. We use micro data on bond holdings, firm characteristics and emissions to show that the ECB’s corporate bond portfolio is tilted towards brown sectors relative to a market portfolio of sectoral capital stocks.
Firm-bank relationships: A cross-country comparison, with Kamelia Kosekova, Angela Maddaloni, and Fabiano Schivardi
We document the structure of firm-bank relationships across eleven euro area countries and present new stylised facts using data from the Eurosystem credit registry - AnaCredit. We look at the number of banking relationships, reliance on the main bank, credit instruments, loan maturity, and interest rates. Firms in Southern Europe borrow from more banks and obtain a lower share of credit from the main bank than those in Northern Europe. They also tend to borrow more on short term, more expensive instruments and to obtain loans with shorter maturity. This is consistent with the hypothesis that firms in Southern Europe rely less on relationship banking and obtain credit less conducive to firm growth, in line with their smaller average size. Relationship lending does not translate in lower rates, possibly because banks appropriate part of the surplus generated by relationship lending through higher rates.
Borrowing Beyond Bounds: How Banks Pass on Regulatory Compliance Costs, with Felix Corell
Banks in the euro area must inform supervisors about each exposure that exceeds 10% of the bank's capital. Using a granular dataset that combines banks' loan and security portfolios, we test whether banks pass on the cost of complying with the large-exposure framework to borrowers above the threshold. We show that after a decrease in the reporting threshold, small banks react by shifting more exposures just below the threshold. In addition, banks charge a sizable 74 basis point interest rate premium for large exposures, relative to firms just below the threshold. This premium is more pronounced for small banks and unrated borrowers with fewer banking relationships and hence fewer outside options. In response, when firms approach their bank's large exposure threshold, they become more likely to borrow from other banks. Despite the "large-exposure penalty", we find no statistical evidence for bunching below the threshold, suggesting that there are substantial frictions that prevent firms from switching to better-capitalized banks to reduce interest expenses.
Lending Relationships in Loan Renegotiation: Evidence from Corporate Loans
Winner of 2017 WFA-CFAR Best Finance PhD Paper Award
This paper presents evidence that personal relationships between corporate borrowers and bank loan officers improve the outcomes of loan renegotiation. Analysing a bank reorganization in Greece in the mid-2010s, I find that firms that experience an exogenous interruption in their loan officer relationship confront three consequences: one, the firms are less likely to renegotiate their loans; two, conditional on renegotiation, the firms are given tougher loan terms; and three, the firms are more likely to alter their capital structure. These results point to the importance of lending relationships in mitigating the cost of distress for borrowers in loan renegotiations.
Securing the Unsecured: How do stronger creditor rights impact firms?
This paper identifies the impact of stronger creditor rights on firms' financing as well as on local economic development. The passage of an enforcement on cash assets reform in Croatia benefited mostly the unsecured creditors, as it made safer the collection of unsecured debt. Using a novel dataset on courts' efficiency and identifying geographical and sectoral variation on the exposure to the reform, I find that firms receive higher levels of trade credit and short term loans when the enforcement of creditor rights is stronger. Moreover, it is shown that such reforms could cause a distortion on firms' cash management, profitability, and investment. Lastly, more firms are incorporated in cities that have a higher exposure to the reform and the local level of employment and of investment is higher in those cities. These results provide evidence that a stronger enforcement of creditor rights decreases the barriers to entry for firms both at the extensive and at the intensive margin but at the same time it distorts the way that pre-existing firms operate.